Progressive predictive value of plasma cell-free EBV DNA in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients

Do Lan Huong, Nghiem Duc Thuan, Nguyen Van Ba, Quan Thanh Nam, Nguyen Phi Long, Nguyen Van Dang, Nguyen Dinh Ung, Dao Thuy Trang

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Abstract

A longitudinal, descriptive investigation study included 84 patients diagnosed for undifferentiated NPC stages III-IVa at Tan Trieu K Hospital from August 2021 to August 2024 was conducted to determine the progressive predictive value of plasma cf EBV DNA concentration post treatment. Results: patients’ progression was 27.4%, plasma cf EBV DNA concentration change after treatment was statistically significant p < 0.001, the median (quartile) decreased from pretreatment was 2702.5 (582.5 - 9201.0 copies/mL) to post EBV was 0 (0 - 4.75), EBV6 was 0 (0-17.0 copies/mL) and EBV12 was 0 (0 - 115.75 copies/mL). EBV6 had a good predictive value for progression, threshold of 1.5 copies/ml, accuracy of 78.8%, sensitivity of 78.9%, specificity of 78.7%, positive predictive value of 53.6%, negative predictive value of 92.3%, OR = 13.846, p = 0.000. EBV12 had a quite good predictive value for progression, threshold of 9.0 copies/mL, accuracy of 89.7%, sensitivity of 76.9%, specificity of 80.3%, negative predictive value of 94.2%, OR = 13.611, p = 0.000. Thus, undifferentiated NPC patients completely responded after treatment, and plasma cf EBV DNA concentration has predictive value for progression with a threshold of EBV6 of 1.5 copies/mL and EBV12 of 9.0 copies/mL.

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References

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