Association between De Ritis ratio and long-term outcomes in elderly patients with acute decompensated heart failure

Hoang Huy Truong, Dang Khoi Nguyen, Dang Duy Phuong, Tran Phuc Loc

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Abstract

A combined prospective and retrospective cohort study was conducted on 249 patients aged ≥ 65 years old with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) (median age 78 years old, 46.2% male) to evaluate the association between the De Ritis ratio and 1-year mortality. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to identify independent associations. The 1-year mortality rate was 27.3%. The median De Ritis ratio was significantly higher in the mortality group compared to the survivors (1.49 vs. 1.29; p < 0.001). ROC analysis showed that the De Ritis ratio predicted 1-year mortality with an AUC of 0.66, sensitivity of 83.9%, specificity of 52%, and an optimal cutoff value of 1.31. Multivariate Cox regression identified the following independent predictors of 1-year mortality: age (HR = 1.04; 95% CI: 1.01 - 1.07; p = 0.022), type 2 diabetes (HR. 4.73; 95% CI: 2.38 - 9.40; p < 0.001), history of stroke (HR = 2.96; 95% CI: 1.69 - 5.17; p < 0.001), log-transformed NT-proBNP (HR = 10.80; 95% CI: 3.82 - 30.48; p < 0.001), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤ 40% (HR = 2.52; 95% CI: 1.32 - 4.84; p = 0.005), and De Ritis ratio ≥ 1.31 (HR = 2.51; 95% CI: 1.22 - 5.18; p = 0.013). An elevated De Ritis ratio is an independent predictor of 1-year mortality in elderly ADHF patients, alongside age, type 2 diabetes, history of stroke, NT-proBNP, and reduced LVEF.

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References

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